This page lists the next A-League fixtures that ArtificialAcca has bookmaker prices for, the selection the model rates most likely in each match, and a ready-made three-leg A-League acca built from the strongest of them. A-League is part of Australia football, and every pick is a probability estimate, not a prediction you can bank.
Over 1.5 goals
Perth Glory v Newcastle Jets
Model 83% · 1.16
Over 1.5 goals
Adelaide United v Melbourne Victory
Model 80% · 1.21
Over 1.5 goals
Melbourne City v Western Sydney Wanderers
Model 78% · 1.24
Combined odds 1.74 · Model probability 52%
Built from the most likely pick in each of the three strongest fixtures below. Odds are the best price found and can change.
Over 1.5 goals1.28 · model 77%
Bookmakers price this at 76%
Auckland or Wellington Phoenix (no draw)1.30 · model 74%
Bookmakers price this at 74%
Over 1.5 goals1.24 · model 78%
Bookmakers price this at 78%
Melbourne City or Western Sydney Wanderers (no draw)1.30 · model 74%
Bookmakers price this at 74%
Over 1.5 goals1.16 · model 83%
Bookmakers price this at 83%
Perth Glory or Newcastle Jets (no draw)1.28 · model 75%
Bookmakers price this at 75%
Over 1.5 goals1.25 · model 77%
Bookmakers price this at 77%
Macarthur or Brisbane Roar (no draw)1.30 · model 73%
Bookmakers price this at 73%
Over 1.5 goals1.21 · model 80%
Bookmakers price this at 80%
Adelaide United or Melbourne Victory (no draw)1.30 · model 74%
Bookmakers price this at 74%
For each A-League match we collect prices across the 1X2, double chance, both teams to score and over/under 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals markets, remove the bookmaker margin to get a fair market probability, and blend that with a goals model built from each side's scoring record. The result is a model probability for every selection, shown next to the best available decimal odds.
Picks on this page are ranked by model probability, within odds of 1.15 to 4.00 so that a leg is neither trivially short nor a long shot. The edge figure (model probability multiplied by odds, minus one) shows where the model and the market disagree; a high probability at short odds can still have no edge.
A-League has fewer bookmakers pricing each match than the biggest leagues, so a fixture only appears here once enough prices exist to build a reliable market view. Expect fewer picks per matchday, and expect prices to move more between now and kick-off.
Matchdays in Australia football are not all equal: fixture congestion, international breaks and end-of-season incentives all change how predictable a round of games is. Weigh the model's probabilities against what you know about team news.
Keep it short. Combined probability is the product of each leg: five legs at 70% each land together about 17% of the time, and three legs at 70% about 34%. Every leg you add multiplies the odds but divides your chance of winning.
Use one selection per match, since two legs from the same game are correlated and the bookmaker's acca price already accounts for that. Mix markets, and use the results page to see how ArtificialAcca's own accas have actually performed.
More acca tips: BTTS acca · Over 2.5 goals acca · Over 1.5 goals acca · Under 2.5 goals acca · Double chance acca · Home win acca · all acca tips.
More leagues: all acca tips by league.
18+ only. ArtificialAcca shows probabilities, not guarantees: accumulators lose far more often than single bets, so never stake more than you can afford to lose. Free support is available at BeGambleAware.org.
